Auburn vs Alabama 11/26/2010

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Alabama is a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat Auburn. Mark Ingram is projected for 110 rushing yards and a 66% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Auburn wins, Cameron Newton averages 1.78 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.87 TDs to 0.74 interceptions. Cameron Newton averages 100 rushing yards and 1.05 rushing TDs when Auburn wins and 86 yards and 0.61 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 32% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -4

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